Last week, I read - with a high degree of incredulity I might add - that the 20-something
founder of the Snapchat website was offered $3 billion to sell the portal and
its application to the powers that be at Facebook. Now that mind-boggling offer
was not in stock, but rather an all-cash deal of a 3, followed by nine zeros, ready for
deposit at any institution large enough to handle it.
And he turned it down.
Let me repeat that for emphasis. He turned the offer
down.
Now this is a three-year-old website that has generated
exactly NO revenues since its inception. None, nada, nein, nyet. For those
unfamiliar with Snapchat, its application “times out” pictures posted to the
site for 10 seconds or less before they disappear – a handy relief for those
embarrassingly uploaded morning-after selfies from a wild night before and
safely out of view of college admissions offices and prospective employers.
Snapchat founder Evan Spiegel told the Wall Street
Journal he thinks the company is capable of getting even more and was
encouraged when a Chinese concern valued the company at an even more obscene $4
billion.
I mean how many yachts can one person possible water ski
behind?
I’m not sure how you would value a company like that with
no profits to speak of but with an obviously expanding user base. I’ll let far
brighter minds than mine figure that out.
Which brings me to today’s topic and that being CPA firm
valuations that are simply divorced from reality. We like to say here that the
three most frequent questions posed to us with regard to firm valuations are
“What’s the multiple? What’s the multiple? And what’s the multiple?
And it’s stunning to learn how many firm owners still
don’t get it. Like the $200K-plus tax practice in a farming community who
decided that his firm was worth a multiple of between 1.3 and 1.5, a value I told
him that he could not command if his firm was in New York City or Chicago, let
alone one that sat adjacent to an odorous cow pasture.
And trust me; he’s far from the only owner who performed their
best impression of Inspector Clouseau when it came to determining the value of
their practices.
There are a number of variables used in determining the
value of a firm – cash upfront if any, the length of the client retention
period, length of the payout and profitability – and by the way, not the
seller’s, but rather the buyer’s.
Currently, it’s a seller’s market, but there are already
shifts in the landscape that indicate that may change radically sooner rather
than later. The most telling could be in fact that multiples overall are
dropping even from their levels of just two to three years ago.
But still there are those out there who are just waiting
for the Facebooks of the world to wave a large check in front of them before
they hand over the keys. Believe me you will be waiting a long time unless your
firm suddenly becomes as in demand as Snapchat.
And those keeping score at home, no, I’ve never availed
myself of Snapchat. I guess my personal life is far too uneventful to worry
about a viral snapshot of me doing the Macarena wearing a lampshade.
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