Milton Friedman once remarked that you could take any three letters from
the alphabet, scramble them in any order you want, and you'll end up with an
acronym for a federal agency we could do without.
I think
about this quote from time to time when I run into a bureaucratic snafu – such
as clogged lines at the DMV or the Post Office.
But I
digress.
This weekend
I came across an interesting article focusing on 401(k) plans and how they have
fallen woefully short of their intended goal of helping the average American
save for retirement. The article was somewhat more direct labeling the program
a “failure.” According to a report by the Employee Benefit Research Institute,
the median amount in a 401(k) account is $18,433, with nearly 40 percent of
employees having less than $10,000 in their respective plan.
For older
workers, the median for those ages 55 to 64 was $76,381.
I
immediately took out my calculator and extrapolated out that figure to see how
long I would be able to continue my present lifestyle armed with that amount in
retirement.
About 7
months.
And that’s
if our idea of dining out would be Burger King once a week.
Enter a labor
economist from the New School of Social Research, one Teresa Ghilarducci, a fan
of defined benefit plans, which apparently are dwindling as the number of
401(k) plans rise. A number of years ago, she proposed eliminating the tax
breaks for the 401(k) plans and use the money to create government-run
retirement plans, or GRAs.
I wrote
about this scenario roughly five years ago, when the GRA plan was still under
most people’s radar and the country was dealing with the financial crisis.
It was a
terrible idea then and it is today. Here’s why.
First of
all, at the time it was first proposed, the guarantee of the GRA was 3 percent.
Now I may not be CNBC’s Jim Cramer but I think if I managed my 401(k) I could
get better than a 3 percent return.
On average, the long-run return of the stock market, adjusted for inflation, hovers
around 7 percent. If, for example, you enrolled in a GRA plan at 25 and you
have lump sum of say, $40,000 growing at 3 percent per year. In 40 years, you would
have $130,481.51 under the GRA. If you invested in the stock market, pending a
7 percent return for the same 40-year span, your principle would be just shy of
$599,000. Considering the federal government's track record in financial
matters, I'll gladly take my chances with the market.
Second, there’s the matter of
vested ownership. Once an employee is vested, he or she owns 100 percent of the
401(k). Should that employee die, their designated heirs receive 100 percent of
the money. Under the GRA the deceased's family would receive just 50 percent,
with the rest circulated back to Uncle Sam.
I won’t pretend that there are
not problems with the 401(k) or the critical need for greater financial
education beginning in high school, but I’ll go one better than Dr. Friedman
and my apprehension of anything run by Washington – and that includes the
nine most frightening words ever heard in the English language.
“I’m from the government and I’m
here to help.”
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