In another lifetime I spent 12 years covering the restaurant industry.
No, not reviewing them, but rather my job was to
focus on the business portion of foodservice operations although admittedly,
the perks and benefits were perhaps the best of any job I’ve ever had.
For example, I had an open invitation to Le Cirque
and The Four Seasons in New York, as well as Spago out on the left coast.
A veteran of the industry once told me that the
single most expensive thing in a restaurant is an empty seat. So, you can
imagine the degree of damage the COVID-19 pandemic has wrought on the
foodservice landscape. Initially, during the pandemic, many were shuttered
completely with no inkling of when they would reopen. When certain states
relaxed their prohibitions, many were allowed only take-out and delivery
services or relegated to outdoor dining only.
I can only image the present and future impact on CPA firms who count restaurants as a major portion of their client base. Not to say that foodservice is the only sector where firms will have to being searching for replacement clients, ditto for bowling alleys, hair salons and movie theaters.
It seemed each day another restaurant brand announced either closures or an intent to file for Chapter 11. On a personal level many familiar names were dining staples of my college and young adult life when discretionary income, was well, not so discretionary.
As an example, the parent to Burger King, Popeyes and
Tim Horton’s recently announced that it would shutter “hundreds” of units,
while Dunkin’ Donuts put the figure on its soon-to-be-padlocked restaurants at
800.
Full-service chains like Ruby Tuesday’s, Denny’s and
IHOP will close an aggregate of 300-plus stores, while California Pizza Kitchen
will file for Chapter 11. Southern-based healthy buffet concepts Souplantation
and Sweet Tomatoes bypassed Chapter 11 and instead will liquidate under Chapter
7.
Pizza Hut (the venue of many of my collegiate pre-final
exam dinners is closing over 300 locations, while Sizzler (did love that
buffet!) will join a legion of others with a Chapter 11 filing.
Even the venerable Starbucks, which of all the brands
listed above, I felt was literally recession proof revealed it would close
300-plus outlets. So much for the coffee and latte version of Kampgrounds of
America.
As you can imagine, have spent more than a decade
reporting on many of those brands listed above as well as hundreds of others it
is sobering to see their once-promising timelines cut short.
And for those like me, memories as well.
You are so right. Although I am seeing some restaurants - not chains - flourish, even during the pandemic. I can't get into all of the details due to lack of time to illustrate what I have seen. Looking at it from a different perspective, an economist, who I respect a tremendous amount, has indicated that one of the byproducts of COVID-19 and the resultant lock-downs and bans will actually strengthen the hospitality industry because there had been way to much over-building and concentration and a huge number of them were barely getting by even before the pandemic. I have noted during my career that the restaurant industry has always been one of the riskiest and competitive in the country. Even overnight successes can get stale in a short period of time. While businesses, investors, and employees are no doubt adversely affected by the bankruptcies and liquidations, in the end it will be the most talented managements and service providers who will survive and flourish.
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