Having covered the public accounting arena for nearly a dozen
years, I was fairly certain I had developed a keen ability to monitor the pulse
of the profession. More often than not I was proactive regarding many of the big
headline stories, but just to keep me honest, every so often a blockbuster
event would blindside me.
Much like on Tuesday, when super-regional firms J.H. Cohn and
Reznick Group announced that they planned to merge in September, thus creating
the 11th largest firm in the country with 25 offices, 2,000
employees and revenues exceeding $450 million.
Having been on the front lines of reporting during other
mega-mergers like LarsonAllen and Clifton Gunderson in the Midwest, Dixon
Hughes-Goodman in the Southeast and New York’s Marcum buying just about
everyone, everywhere.
By my estimate, since
October, there have been nearly 100 M&A deals in the profession – and those
are just the ones we heard about. Dozens more undoubtedly fell under the radar.
In fact, more than 50 percent of the Top 100 firms in the U.S.
reported completing at least one merger in 2011.
Now that I’ve stepped away from my editorial duties and migrated
to the transition and succession services business, even I’m nonplussed at the rate
of M&A activity that began gaining traction in 2009 and has only
accelerated since then both in size and scope.
After all, there are only a finite number of super-regional firms
to go around. After that it begins drilling down.
Coincidentally, I had hosted a pair of webinars this past week
focusing on the trends and events that impact the accounting profession and was
asked by an attendee where I thought we would see the most M&A activity
this year and next in terms of firm size. I was even asked could there be a
chance of any unions among the Big Four, thereby making it the Big Three.
My simple answer to that would be “no.”
Any reduction in the amount of global auditing firms I believe would raise serious competitive issues and could well prompt federal intervention. If my background has taught me anything it’s that the folks on Capitol Hill love to get involved in accounting and auditing issues.
But where I think you’ll
see the most activity will be among the 2-5 partner firms, who are facing
competitive pressures from both smaller firms (who can undercut them with
regard to engagement fees) and from larger practices imbued with greater
resources in terms of personnel, technologies and geographic market reach.
There are hundreds of firms of that capacity now facing the unpleasant quinella
of torrid competition and a lack of a formal succession plan.
Just my humble opinion.
That is until the next mega-merger catches me off guard.
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